22 SSB BHOPAL
"A superpower’s policies don’t stay within its borders; they shape the world."
As per your opinion, after Donald Trump become president for the second time the Policies made by him will affect the world most.
1) Trade
2) Climate change
3) Geopolitical tensions
If Donald Trump becomes the U.S. President for the second time, his policies will significantly impact the world. Based on his past governance and stated views, his influence will be most visible in trade, climate change, and geopolitical tensions. Let’s analyze each factor.
1. Trade – Disruptions in Global Markets
- Trump is known for his "America First" trade policy, which prioritizes U.S. industries over global cooperation.
- His trade war with China led to $500 billion in tariffs, affecting global supply chains and increasing product costs.
- The U.S. may impose higher tariffs on imports from China, India, and the EU, disrupting international trade.
- Potential withdrawal from global trade agreements like WTO or a stricter stance on NAFTA 2.0 could create trade barriers.
Impact on the World:
✅ India and other emerging economies could face higher tariffs, affecting exports in IT, pharma, and textiles.
✅ Supply chains in tech and manufacturing could suffer, increasing global inflation.
✅ Countries dependent on U.S. trade, like Mexico and Canada, could face economic slowdowns.
2. Climate Change – A Major Setback for Global Environmental Efforts
- Trump previously withdrew from the Paris Agreement and has supported the fossil fuel industry.
- He may roll back environmental regulations, leading to increased U.S. oil and coal production.
- Global climate initiatives may suffer as the U.S. is a key funder of climate finance programs for developing nations.
Impact on the World:
✅ Slower progress on climate goals as the U.S. is the world’s second-largest emitter of greenhouse gases.
✅ Developing countries may lose climate funding, delaying green energy transitions.
✅ More global reliance on fossil fuels could worsen climate disasters like floods and droughts.
3. Geopolitical Tensions – Rising Global Instability
- Trump’s "America First" approach may weaken alliances like NATO, QUAD, and G7, shifting global power dynamics.
- His aggressive stance on China, Russia, and Iran may lead to increased military tensions.
- The U.S. could reduce support for Ukraine, leading to a stronger Russian influence in Eastern Europe.
- Trump has also threatened to withdraw U.S. military support from allies unless they pay more for defense.
Impact on the World:
✅ Increased conflicts in the South China Sea and Taiwan, affecting Indo-Pacific security.
✅ India may face challenges in balancing relations with both the U.S. and Russia.
✅ Weakened NATO could lead to more instability in Europe, making Russia and China more assertive.
Conclusion: What Will Have the Greatest Impact? (Opinion)
While all three areas will be affected, geopolitical tensions will have the most severe and immediate global consequences because:
- It directly affects international security and alliances.
- A weaker NATO and QUAD could embolden China, Russia, and North Korea, increasing global instability.
- India’s strategic position could become more complicated, forcing it to rethink its foreign policy.
